When we think of success, we think of sacrifice, of paying in blood sweat, and tears – are we willing to pay the price?
Probabilistic thinking asks us to view each possible contingent as distinct and separate events with probability attached to each. Few of us think of the cost of failure – of the alternative histories that await – we probably wouldn’t do it if we knew.
A simple way to think about it:
Don’t be fooled by past success, if failure is too costly to bear -and certainly don’t confuse luck for skill.
Youth Sport. Athletic Entrepreneurs. Red Bull Athletes.