If you know you know but more often than we imagine we know only once we know, despite what we tell ourselves.
A simple maxim from the brilliant book Noise.
If you can’t accurately predict what happens next, you don’t know.
This brings me to youth sports.
If it’s not true that we can predict how successful a kid will be in a sport then we should stop doing it.
Instead, we can focus on things that we can predictably influence, like decision-making.